China Ripples Again

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North Korean Video Still — Kim Jong-un watching ballistic missile test December 2015

On cue, one week ahead of expiry on China’s 6-month freeze on large share holders selling their stock, the markets crashed twice. Stocks in China fell in the first week of 2016 for a combined loss of 24% and have remained volatile through the rest of January. After the crash last August, when the markets steadied in response to government prohibitions on trading, the rest of us were left counting to six—January 2016 was the ‘next’ possible date for a market crisis in China. Continue reading “China Ripples Again”

2016: The Future is C-O-O-L

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Mt. Reinier, Washington. LNV 2015

Today 82% of man-made Green House Gases (GHGs) originate from CO2 released by burning oil, coal and natural gas. More than half of the ‘dirty fuels’ are used to power transportation and generate electricity. Although we have the technology to switch to clean and renewable fuels, we lack the  ideological, political and economic will to clean the mess of GHGs once and for all. Continue reading “2016: The Future is C-O-O-L”

Bernanke and Summers: Thing 1 & Thing 2

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Ben Bernanke and Larry Summers

As the prospect of ending Quantitative Easing dawns over the horizon, the need to frame a new global economic policy fills the screen. Leading the way is Larry Summers, former U.S. Secretary of the Treasury. With a new federal party in power Canada may be moving there already. Continue reading “Bernanke and Summers: Thing 1 & Thing 2”

The New Normal

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Dow Jones Industrial Index

Monday 24 august 2015 12:45 pm EST

This morning felt a bit like 9-11-2001 except that I don’t have CNN anymore—I cut the cable in 2010. Back then I was assessing whether the planes were aiming at the weak point in the towers in order to cause maximum structural damage. The lower the hit, the higher the stress created by the dead load left above the point of impact. The analysis was spot on. The first tower to go down was the one hit lowest. Today, QE (quantitative easing) is being stress-tested although no one on the Street appears to notice.

Continue reading “The New Normal”

China Ripples

China

After three consecutive devaluations to the yuan totalling a 4.5% drop in value, today the People’s Bank of China, the central bank, stayed the course. The long view sees this as a small correction in the long march of 1.3 billion-strong population to modernization and prosperity. Yet, the last 12 months have issued clear signals of more trouble ahead.

Continue reading “China Ripples”